Measuring progesterone is the single-most helpful diagnostic in determining when your bitch is ready to be bred. If you want to maximize the chances that she will get pregnant, measuring progesterone is absolutely essential. There is a fair amount of misinformation out there when it comes to the best way to use progesterone as part of breeding management, so in this week’s blog post I will set the record straight!
Progesterone Physiology 101
During the majority of the year, when a bitch is not in heat, her progesterone level is very low, or at “baseline,” which can be anything under ~0.5 ng/mL (nanograms per milliliter of blood). As the cells in her ovary prepare for ovulation, small amounts of progesterone are released, causing the levels in her blood to slowly rise. When the level reaches APPROXIMATELY (but not necessarily exactly) 2.0 ng/mL, there is a surge of a hormone called LH (luteinizing hormone). The LH surge essentially tells the ovaries that it’s time to ovulate, but it still takes approximately 48 hours from the LH surge for ovulation to occur.
When ovulation occurs, progesterone has usually reached somewhere between 5.0 ng/mL and 10 ng/mL, but the specific number is NOT as important as the TREND. In this timeframe, you will see a rapid increase in the progesterone numbers. It might go from 4.0 ng/mL to 8.0 ng/mL, from 5 ng/mL to 9 ng/mL, etc. Again, the specific numbers don’t matter, it’s all about the trend.
The eggs are still not ready yet! The canine is different from other species in that the eggs are not ready to be fertilized as soon as they are ovulated. Instead, they need approximately another 48 hours to mature before they can be fertilized. Progesterone can do whatever it wants at this point – in some cases it continues to rise as high as 80 ng/mL, in others it might rise to 20 ng/mL and stay there. Ultimately, after I know that I’ve seen a trend that reveals ovulation (i.e. a rapid rise that ends over 10 ng/mL), I don’t particularly care what the numbers do.
The Myth of the Magic Number
To recap, when I’m looking at progesterone numbers to determine time for breeding I’m looking for two major landmarks –
- 1) the point at which progesterone rises above 2.0 ng/mL (aka the LH surge)
- 2) the point approximately 48 hours after point #1 at which progesterone rapidly rises between 4.0 ng/mL and 10.0 ng/mL (aka ovulation).
The eggs will be ready for fertilization approximately two days after ovulation and will remain able to be fertilized for a few days after that. The timing of breeding depends on a number of factors – whether the semen is fresh, chilled, or frozen; whether this scenario is falling on a weekend; whether we’re doing only one breeding or multiple; the quality of the semen – but once I know that ovulation has occurred the timing of the breeding does NOT depend on the specific progesterone number. It drives me bananas when I hear people declare that they “can’t” breed her until [insert their magic number here]. It just isn’t true. It’s not about the numbers, it’s about the trend.
Machines, Machines, Everywhere and Not a One to Trust
Earlier this year, a very common brand of in-house bloodwork analyzer, the Catalyst II by Idexx, added the ability to measure progesterone. This is a double-edged sword because it gives many more veterinary clinics the ability to help responsible breeders with progesterone timing (which is great!) but many general practice veterinary clinics do not have experience managing progesterone timing, which can lead to confusion and frustration on the part of all parties involved. Additionally, there are a couple significant factors to take into consideration when discussing which machine is being used to measure progesterone, and this will be the topic of next week’s post! Until then, have a great week!
Yours in healthy, responsibly-bred puppies,
Dr. Kristina
10 Comments
Judy McCormick · December 7, 2019 at 2:34 pm
I have my progesterones run by my local hospital. I assume they are accurate as my bitches get in whelp. I have also run reverse progesterones. Do you think they are accurate?
Dr. Kristina Baltutis · December 13, 2019 at 11:10 am
The short answer is yes, the longer answer is to check out the next blog post!
ALEESHA LAUGER · November 21, 2022 at 8:06 am
Hi there,
Is it possible a dog could still have ovulated if she only got to a 5.4 using mini vidas/ approx 3.0 on idex??
Or is that just not high enough? I just wondered if they all go pretty high if ovulation happens? I’m having trouble with my lab having a normal cycle but never getting higher than 5.4 by day 22 then she slowly started going back down. I got a 3.6 on day 29. Do you think she will have to go back to baseline and I’m out of luck this cycle? I’m reading about anovulatory cycles and wondering. She is also the stressed away from home type and she had been at breeders 3 weeks I shouldn’t have left her so early. Do you think now that she has been home a few days she could rise again or never heard of such a thing?
Thanks
I really appreciate it!
Dr. Kristina B · April 2, 2023 at 4:41 pm
Hi Aleesha,
The progesterone measurement will continue rising above 20 ng/mL if she ovulates. If her progesterone rises and then falls again as you’ve described, it is possible she’s experiencing a “split heat.”
Leo Perez · January 2, 2020 at 6:51 am
I will like to be in your mailing list form future articles,
Thank you,
Leo.
Dr. Kristina Baltutis · January 31, 2020 at 7:53 am
Great! Enter your information here and you’ll be added! https://well-bred-veterinary-services-pllc.ck.page/dd96ef8ba2
lynn · January 22, 2026 at 4:19 am
hello, we just got the new Anbio (Xiamen) 100c machine & just started doing our own tests. I have a question because Both test numbers & bitch heat cycle are not matching up or resemble her past heats/breeding. The first test we did on day 6 or 7 (since dog is in guardian home, we are not sure if they caught the first sign of the, heat, but even if they did not catch the very first day, they had to be within 1-2 days of the start).
So, on the dog’s day 6 or 7, her test was 17.96 ng/ml & it seems high, but we did not expect that so we did not have stud available to breed the female. It is supposed to br her 4th & final litter. The next day (7 or 8) of cycle, the stud came over to do fresh AI. But the mom’s progesterone was 23.94, a jump but very high up there. She still had bright red discharge & she and the stud were super interested in each other and the fresh AI went well. We are just concerned about the numbers being so high at such an early time in heat cycle, and how that relates to the Anbio progesterone chart that states fertile range 1to be 0-20 ng/ml?
We had the stud come by one more time the next day (Day 8 or 9), female still has bright discharge, but it is thinner and lighter., she and stud were still interested in each other, just not as much as day before and AI went well. We tested mom again just to see and she was at 27.26, this doesn’t seem right or fit her previous breedings, so we are wondering if her numbers are just higher now and she is still in fertile range or she is completely out of it, which doesn’t seem possible?
Dr. Kristina Belton · April 13, 2026 at 5:20 pm
Hi there! I’m not familiar with the Anbio 100c machine, so I would question the interpretation of the results. I hope you had breeding success regardless!
Basic Canine Breeding Management – Well Bred Veterinary Services, PLLC · April 29, 2020 at 6:36 am
[…] At baseline, her progesterone level is very low – close to 0 ng/mL. As her ovaries are getting ready to ovulate, the progesterone level slowly starts to rise. Once the progesterone level reaches approximately 2.0-3.0 ng/mL, her brain will release another hormone, called luteinizing hormone (LH for short). LH essentially “tells” the ovaries to ovulate, but they don’t listen right away. The ovaries ovulate approximately 36-48 hours after the LH surge occurs. At this point, the progesterone level is between 5.0-10.0 ng/mL and rises rapidly. When you’re trying to identify the date of ovulation, the most important factor to look for is a RAPID RISE, not a specific number. There’s additional information about progesterone in this article. […]